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EU races to finalise Russia sanctions before oil price cap rises to €58

EU races to finalise Russia sanctions before oil price cap rises to €58

European Union ambassadors are racing to finalise the 21st sanctions package against Russia before a mid-July deadline, with failure risking a higher oil price cap that would boost Moscow’s energy revenues while exposing deep divisions over liquefied natural gas transit.

EU diplomats are pushing to finalise the 21st package of sanctions against Russia before the 15 July deadline, following a stalled meeting of foreign ministers in Brussels. Ambassadors are scheduled to reconvene at 16:00 today to bridge the remaining gaps.

The primary economic risk of a delay is automatic. Without an agreement, the price cap on Russian oil will rise from €44 to €58 per barrel. This adjustment would directly increase Moscow’s energy revenues, undermining the bloc’s broader strategy to restrict funding for the war in Ukraine.

Disagreements now centre on a proposed ban of Russian liquefied natural gas transit through EU waters. Greece is actively seeking an exemption to protect its maritime sector, even as data reveals the bloc spent nearly €6 billion on LNG from Russia’s Yamal facility in the first half of the year.

To secure unanimity, diplomats have already removed the head of Russia’s Orthodox Church, Patriarch Kirill, and Lukoil founder Vagit Alekperov from the draft blacklist. Bulgaria had signaled an insurmountable veto against targeting Kirill, marking the second time the EU has dropped the religious leader from sanctions.

Bulgarian Foreign Minister Velislava Petrova-Chamova warned that purely symbolic measures without economic consequences risk creating "the environment for brewing anti-European rhetoric" in Eastern Orthodox nations. She added that dropping the name allowed the package to reach a format Bulgaria can support.

UK joins €90 billion Ukraine loan facility

In a parallel development strengthening European defence economics, the United Kingdom has formally joined the EU’s €90 billion support loan for Ukraine. The agreement permits Kyiv to procure ammunition and weapons from British defence contractors, including BAE Systems, QinetiQ and Babcock International, using funds disbursed by Brussels.

London will bear a fair and proportionate share of the €3 billion in annual interest costs, scaled according to the financial benefit its firms receive. The arrangement was confirmed during a recent meeting of allies in Paris, which also saw the launch of a new anti-ballistic missile coalition.

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